Minority Report

Newport, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sullivan County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 35°   Rain 95%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°93%
US model (GFS)41°36°90%
European model (ECMWF)41°38°100%
German model (ICON)42°37°100%
Canadian model (GEM)44°33°90%
The average42°35°95%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 54 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°46%
US model (GFS)40°32°63%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°100%
German model (ICON)38°33°95%
Canadian model (GEM)40°26°69%
The average40°30°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 41°   Low 29°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 29 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 29% against a group average of 12%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°27°6%
US model (GFS)40°29°14%
European model (ECMWF)42°29°29%
German model (ICON)40°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°28°11%
The average41°29°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 5%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°5%
US model (GFS)40°28°2%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°10%
German model (ICON)40°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°35°6%
The average41°32°5%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.