Minority Report

Newport, TN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Cocke County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 43°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 61 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 76%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—35°39%
US model (GFS)56°42°39%
European model (ECMWF)59°47°100%
German model (ICON)60°46°100%
Canadian model (GEM)58°46°100%
The average58°43°76%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 38°   Rain 75%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 75%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°60%
US model (GFS)44°35°49%
European model (ECMWF)47°40°97%
German model (ICON)47°40°80%
Canadian model (GEM)46°41°90%
The average46°38°75%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 33°   Rain 41%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 77 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 41%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°9%
US model (GFS)46°31°14%
European model (ECMWF)45°36°77%
German model (ICON)45°38°20%
Canadian model (GEM)42°31°86%
The average45°33°41%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°33°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°25°0%
The average50°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.