Minority Report

Newton, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Harvey County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 57°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)57°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)58°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average57°36°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°32°0%
German model (ICON)50°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°26°0%
The average49°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 15 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°36°18%
US model (GFS)48°30°5%
European model (ECMWF)50°32°8%
German model (ICON)53°30°7%
Canadian model (GEM)51°27°20%
The average50°31°12%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 37°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 62 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 35%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°33°34%
US model (GFS)44°40°24%
European model (ECMWF)48°37°14%
German model (ICON)48°40°25%
Canadian model (GEM)44°37°76%
The average47°37°35%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.