Minority Report

Newton, NC — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Catawba County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 12%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°1%
US model (GFS)66°43°24%
European model (ECMWF)63°46°6%
German model (ICON)65°41°20%
Canadian model (GEM)66°43°10%
The average65°42°12%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 7%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°31°8%
US model (GFS)52°37°6%
European model (ECMWF)52°41°13%
German model (ICON)54°37°10%
Canadian model (GEM)54°38°0%
The average54°37°7%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 31°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)49°37°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)50°25°0%
The average50°31°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)54°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)55°32°0%
German model (ICON)56°22°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°22°0%
The average55°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.