Newton, NJ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sussex County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 52° Low 40° Rain 99%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 7 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 32° | 93% |
| US model (GFS) | 47° | 41° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 44° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 42° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 55° | 42° | 100% |
| The average | 52° | 40° | 99% |
High 43° Low 32° Rain 97%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 27° | 95% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 33° | 92% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 33° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| The average | 43° | 32° | 97% |
High 42° Low 30° Rain 11%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 39° | 32° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 30° | 4% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 34° | 28% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 27° | 22% |
| The average | 42° | 30° | 11% |
High 44° Low 34° Rain 0%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 35° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 36° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 33° | 0% |
| The average | 44° | 34° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.