Nogales, AZ — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Santa Cruz County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 74° Low 48° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 50° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 75° | 50° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 73° | 47° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 73° | 52° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 76° | 40° | 0% |
| The average | 74° | 48° | 0% |
High 68° Low 48° Rain 72%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 69° | 48° | 65% |
| US model (GFS) | 68° | 49° | 77% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 67° | 50° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 66° | 51° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 68° | 40° | 57% |
| The average | 68° | 48° | 72% |
High 64° Low 46° Rain 9%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 28 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 66° | 46° | 1% |
| US model (GFS) | 62° | 46° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 63° | 50° | 10% |
| German model (ICON) | 64° | 48° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 66° | 41° | 29% |
| The average | 64° | 46° | 9% |
High 68° Low 44° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 70° | 46° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 66° | 48° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 68° | 45° | 2% |
| German model (ICON) | 68° | 46° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 69° | 37° | 0% |
| The average | 68° | 44° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.