Minority Report

Nome Census Area, AK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nome Census Area.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 17°   Low 9°   Rain 5%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service21°16°13%
US model (GFS)12°6°0%
European model (ECMWF)20°9°2%
German model (ICON)15°6°3%
Canadian model (GEM)15°6°6%
The average17°9°5%

Friday, November 13

High 15°   Low 7°   Rain 10%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 12°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service22°10°12%
US model (GFS)10°6°10%
European model (ECMWF)14°7°4%
German model (ICON)15°5°10%
Canadian model (GEM)13°8°15%
The average15°7°10%

Saturday, November 14

High 13°   Low 6°   Rain 13%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 13°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 30% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service19°10°14%
US model (GFS)6°2°0%
European model (ECMWF)15°7°16%
German model (ICON)12°5°4%
Canadian model (GEM)13°5°30%
The average13°6°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 13°   Low 4°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 17°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 18% against a group average of 7%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service20°15°6%
US model (GFS)3°-0°0%
European model (ECMWF)16°8°18%
German model (ICON)17°4°8%
Canadian model (GEM)10°-5°5%
The average13°4°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.