Minority Report

Norristown, PA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Montgomery County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 61°   Low 46°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 23 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 77% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°77%
US model (GFS)62°49°85%
European model (ECMWF)60°50°100%
German model (ICON)58°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)64°48°100%
The average61°46°92%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 94%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 80% against a group average of 94%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°95%
US model (GFS)49°34°80%
European model (ECMWF)50°36°99%
German model (ICON)48°38°98%
Canadian model (GEM)49°36°96%
The average48°35°94%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 34°   Rain 30%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 59 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 60% against a group average of 30%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°32°1%
US model (GFS)44°34°22%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°23%
German model (ICON)47°34°60%
Canadian model (GEM)42°36°46%
The average46°34°30%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°33°0%
US model (GFS)47°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°39°2%
German model (ICON)48°37°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°33°0%
The average48°36°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.