North Hero, VT — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Grand Isle County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 43° Low 33° Rain 8%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 30° | 9% |
| US model (GFS) | 43° | 32° | 5% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 35° | 6% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 35° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 34° | 11% |
| The average | 43° | 33° | 8% |
High 41° Low 32° Rain 6%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 25 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 42° | 34° | 25% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 31° | 3% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 42° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 34° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 30° | 0% |
| The average | 41° | 32° | 6% |
High 42° Low 36° Rain 68%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 35° | 53% |
| US model (GFS) | 41° | 35° | 60% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 36° | 88% |
| German model (ICON) | 41° | 37° | 69% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 40° | 38° | 71% |
| The average | 42° | 36° | 68% |
High 43° Low 36° Rain 28%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 45° | 36° | 34% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 35° | 39% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 43° | 35° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 44° | 37° | 31% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 42° | 36° | 25% |
| The average | 43° | 36° | 28% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.