Minority Report

Norton, VA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Norton city.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 52°   Low 39°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 37 points, 3 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°63%
US model (GFS)53°40°72%
German model (ICON)52°42°98%
Canadian model (GEM)52°39°100%
The average52°39°83%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 33°   Rain 76%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 76%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service39°30°76%
US model (GFS)41°32°61%
German model (ICON)42°35°70%
Canadian model (GEM)39°34°95%
The average40°33°76%

Saturday, November 14

High 37°   Low 30°   Rain 32%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 69 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 75% against a group average of 32%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°30°6%
US model (GFS)38°28°8%
German model (ICON)38°32°40%
Canadian model (GEM)36°29°75%
The average37°30°32%

Sunday, November 15

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°0%
US model (GFS)41°28°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°28°0%
The average43°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.