Minority Report

Norwalk, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Huron County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 50°   Low 41°   Rain 92%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 37 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 63% against a group average of 92%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—37°63%
US model (GFS)51°42°97%
European model (ECMWF)51°43°100%
German model (ICON)50°42°100%
Canadian model (GEM)49°43°100%
The average50°41°92%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 36°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 39% against a group average of 78%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°32°71%
US model (GFS)42°37°39%
European model (ECMWF)43°37°100%
German model (ICON)42°37°93%
Canadian model (GEM)44°38°86%
The average42°36°78%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 48 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 51% against a group average of 24%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°34°13%
US model (GFS)43°34°5%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°51%
German model (ICON)44°31°3%
Canadian model (GEM)39°30°49%
The average43°32°24%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 35°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 32% against a group average of 9%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°33°2%
US model (GFS)45°40°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°38°32%
German model (ICON)47°33°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°2%
The average45°35°9%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.