Norwich, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Chenango County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 44° Low 32° Rain 100%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 25° | 100% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 33° | 100% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 44° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 34° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 33° | 100% |
| The average | 44° | 32° | 100% |
High 36° Low 29° Rain 95%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 39° | 22° | 77% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 30° | 99% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 31° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 35° | 33° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 34° | 29° | 100% |
| The average | 36° | 29° | 95% |
High 38° Low 30° Rain 73%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 31 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 40° | 26° | 68% |
| US model (GFS) | 37° | 31° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 32° | 87% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 33° | 59% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 30° | 90% |
| The average | 38° | 30° | 73% |
High 38° Low 31° Rain 59%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 26° | 60% |
| US model (GFS) | 34° | 29° | 59% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 34° | 62% |
| German model (ICON) | 39° | 35° | 32% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 39° | 33° | 83% |
| The average | 38° | 31° | 59% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.