Minority Report

Nowata, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Nowata County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 39°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)63°41°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°42°0%
German model (ICON)62°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°41°0%
The average62°39°0%

Friday, November 13

High 51°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°29°0%
US model (GFS)50°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)50°35°0%
German model (ICON)51°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)52°28°0%
The average51°31°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 55°   Low 31°   Rain 5%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°35°12%
US model (GFS)56°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)53°33°3%
German model (ICON)57°30°2%
Canadian model (GEM)56°26°5%
The average55°31°5%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 39°   Rain 40%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 42 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 40%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°36%
US model (GFS)47°42°35%
European model (ECMWF)49°40°37%
German model (ICON)48°41°26%
Canadian model (GEM)45°38°68%
The average48°39°40%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.