Minority Report

Oak Grove, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of West Carroll Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—39°0%
US model (GFS)72°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)72°53°0%
German model (ICON)72°50°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°51°0%
The average72°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 38°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°42°0%
German model (ICON)57°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)57°36°0%
The average56°38°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 56°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°36°0%
US model (GFS)58°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°39°0%
German model (ICON)57°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°29°0%
The average56°34°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 59°   Low 40°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 35 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°30%
US model (GFS)64°42°22%
European model (ECMWF)57°42°49%
German model (ICON)60°40°57%
Canadian model (GEM)57°37°26%
The average59°40°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.