Minority Report

Oberlin, LA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Allen Parish.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 77°   Low 54°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—47°0%
US model (GFS)79°55°0%
European model (ECMWF)76°57°0%
German model (ICON)77°55°0%
Canadian model (GEM)77°55°0%
The average77°54°0%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 47°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°41°0%
US model (GFS)69°46°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°51°0%
German model (ICON)68°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)72°50°0%
The average70°47°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 63°   Low 43°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°43°1%
US model (GFS)64°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)62°45°5%
German model (ICON)62°39°0%
Canadian model (GEM)63°45°0%
The average63°43°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 67%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 30 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 83% against a group average of 67%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°46°71%
US model (GFS)66°46°53%
European model (ECMWF)59°48°83%
German model (ICON)62°45°62%
Canadian model (GEM)68°46°65%
The average64°46°67%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.