Minority Report

Ocala, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Marion County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 76°   Low 59°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 6 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—53°0%
US model (GFS)76°59°1%
European model (ECMWF)76°60°6%
German model (ICON)76°60°3%
Canadian model (GEM)76°61°1%
The average76°59°2%

Friday, November 13

High 70°   Low 49°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°42°0%
US model (GFS)69°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°53°0%
German model (ICON)71°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°52°0%
The average70°49°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 61°   Low 41°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service62°43°0%
US model (GFS)62°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°43°0%
German model (ICON)63°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°41°0%
The average61°41°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 45°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service70°50°0%
US model (GFS)69°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)68°45°0%
German model (ICON)70°42°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°40°0%
The average69°45°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.