Minority Report

Oconto, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Oconto County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 14%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 35% against a group average of 14%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—25°18%
US model (GFS)42°32°10%
European model (ECMWF)41°34°2%
German model (ICON)42°34°35%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°5%
The average41°32°14%

Friday, November 13

High 41°   Low 30°   Rain 8%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 1°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°12%
US model (GFS)40°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)41°33°16%
German model (ICON)40°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)41°31°0%
The average41°30°8%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°25°0%
US model (GFS)43°31°5%
European model (ECMWF)43°31°0%
German model (ICON)45°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°0%
The average44°30°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)44°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°0%
The average45°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.