Minority Report

Ogallala, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Keith County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)60°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°32°0%
The average59°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 52°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°0%
German model (ICON)51°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°31°0%
The average52°33°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°29°16%
US model (GFS)49°27°8%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°6%
German model (ICON)50°34°13%
Canadian model (GEM)49°33°14%
The average48°32°11%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 35°   Rain 11%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 11%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°29°1%
US model (GFS)47°40°10%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°6%
German model (ICON)49°38°15%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°24%
The average49°35°11%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.