Minority Report

Okemah, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Okfuskee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 43°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—36°1%
US model (GFS)68°45°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°46°0%
German model (ICON)67°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average67°43°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°34°0%
US model (GFS)54°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°37°0%
The average54°37°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 35°   Rain 33%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 34 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 33%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°39°53%
US model (GFS)58°34°19%
European model (ECMWF)55°38°29%
German model (ICON)58°32°27%
Canadian model (GEM)57°34°35%
The average57°35°33%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 84%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 71% against a group average of 84%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°38°86%
US model (GFS)50°41°79%
European model (ECMWF)48°42°88%
German model (ICON)46°41°71%
Canadian model (GEM)48°39°94%
The average48°40°84%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.