Minority Report

Okmulgee, OK — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Okmulgee County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 67°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°1%
US model (GFS)68°43°0%
European model (ECMWF)67°47°0%
German model (ICON)67°43°0%
Canadian model (GEM)68°43°0%
The average67°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 36°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service54°32°0%
US model (GFS)54°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°40°0%
German model (ICON)54°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°36°0%
The average54°36°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 34°   Rain 21%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 38 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 45% against a group average of 21%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°37°45%
US model (GFS)58°33°7%
European model (ECMWF)55°39°21%
German model (ICON)58°29°14%
Canadian model (GEM)56°32°17%
The average57°34°21%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 40°   Rain 78%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 27 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 93% against a group average of 78%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°36°80%
US model (GFS)50°41°73%
European model (ECMWF)48°43°80%
German model (ICON)47°41°66%
Canadian model (GEM)48°40°93%
The average48°40°78%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.