Minority Report

Olympia, WA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Thurston County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 49°   Rain 16%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 59 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 16%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°51°59%
US model (GFS)59°48°5%
German model (ICON)59°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°0%
The average59°49°16%

Friday, November 13

High 56°   Low 48°   Rain 73%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 43 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 73%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°50°98%
US model (GFS)55°46°55%
German model (ICON)56°49°73%
Canadian model (GEM)55°48°67%
The average56°48°73%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 49°   Rain 96%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°51°98%
US model (GFS)56°46°98%
German model (ICON)56°49°93%
Canadian model (GEM)58°49°95%
The average57°49°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 44°   Rain 99%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 3 points, 4 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service55°43°97%
US model (GFS)55°44°98%
German model (ICON)55°44°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°47°100%
The average55°44°99%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.