Minority Report

Onawa, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Monona County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°1%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°35°0%
German model (ICON)44°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average45°28°0%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 22°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°20°0%
US model (GFS)38°21°0%
European model (ECMWF)43°28°0%
German model (ICON)42°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°18°0%
The average42°22°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°27°0%
US model (GFS)46°20°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°27°0%
German model (ICON)45°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°13°0%
The average45°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°28°0%
German model (ICON)52°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°13°0%
The average49°27°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.