Minority Report

Onida, SD — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Sully County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 26°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)37°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)40°28°0%
German model (ICON)38°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°5%
The average39°26°1%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 26°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 9°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°26°0%
US model (GFS)37°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°22°0%
The average42°26°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 47°   Low 31°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°32°0%
US model (GFS)49°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°32°0%
German model (ICON)47°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°0%
The average47°31°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°37°0%
US model (GFS)57°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)60°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°36°0%
The average57°37°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.