Ontonagon, MI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ontonagon County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 37° Low 34° Rain 70%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 84 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 31° | 51% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 34° | 16% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 38° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 38° | 34° | 95% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 35° | 86% |
| The average | 37° | 34° | 70% |
High 37° Low 33° Rain 57%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 70 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 34° | 50% |
| US model (GFS) | 36° | 32° | 22% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 36° | 32° | 92% |
| German model (ICON) | 37° | 33° | 60% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 34° | 60% |
| The average | 37° | 33° | 57% |
High 40° Low 28° Rain 4%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 38° | 30° | 2% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 30° | 6% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 40° | 29° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 42° | 29° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 38° | 22° | 5% |
| The average | 40° | 28° | 4% |
High 45° Low 27° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 44° | 33° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 29° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 47° | 27° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 47° | 26° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 20° | 0% |
| The average | 45° | 27° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.