Minority Report

Oquawka, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Henderson County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 47°   Low 35°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 12 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)44°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°38°12%
German model (ICON)48°35°3%
Canadian model (GEM)47°38°0%
The average47°35°3%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°25°0%
US model (GFS)41°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°32°0%
German model (ICON)43°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°0%
The average42°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)47°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°25°0%
The average45°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°28°0%
US model (GFS)50°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°32°0%
German model (ICON)51°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°18°0%
The average49°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.