Minority Report

Ordway, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crowley County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 69°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—33°0%
US model (GFS)69°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)69°36°0%
German model (ICON)70°29°0%
Canadian model (GEM)70°32°0%
The average69°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 63°   Low 34°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 3%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°37°13%
US model (GFS)62°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)65°38°0%
German model (ICON)62°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)61°30°0%
The average63°34°3%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 37°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 90% against a group average of 57%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service60°38°53%
US model (GFS)57°34°56%
European model (ECMWF)53°41°90%
German model (ICON)55°34°50%
Canadian model (GEM)60°37°38%
The average57°37°57%

Sunday, November 15

High 50°   Low 38°   Rain 37%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 58 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 4% against a group average of 37%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°33°4%
US model (GFS)48°43°18%
European model (ECMWF)50°38°62%
German model (ICON)51°42°48%
Canadian model (GEM)48°34°52%
The average50°38°37%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.