Minority Report

Oregon City, OR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clackamas County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 58°   Low 48°   Rain 9%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 41 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 41% against a group average of 9%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—48°41%
US model (GFS)57°48°2%
European model (ECMWF)59°48°0%
German model (ICON)58°47°0%
Canadian model (GEM)58°48°0%
The average58°48°9%

Friday, November 13

High 57°   Low 48°   Rain 87%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 87%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°48°93%
US model (GFS)55°47°76%
European model (ECMWF)60°47°100%
German model (ICON)60°48°100%
Canadian model (GEM)56°49°68%
The average57°48°87%

Saturday, November 14

High 59°   Low 49°   Rain 79%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 36 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 79%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service57°48°98%
US model (GFS)57°47°93%
European model (ECMWF)62°50°64%
German model (ICON)61°52°79%
Canadian model (GEM)60°50°62%
The average59°49°79%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 45°   Rain 95%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°43°98%
US model (GFS)52°45°93%
European model (ECMWF)55°45°96%
German model (ICON)54°47°99%
Canadian model (GEM)54°48°90%
The average54°45°95%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.