Minority Report

Orlando, FL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Orange County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 78°   Low 62°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 33 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 33% against a group average of 11%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—59°14%
US model (GFS)81°58°1%
European model (ECMWF)77°65°33%
German model (ICON)76°64°0%
Canadian model (GEM)78°62°6%
The average78°62°11%

Friday, November 13

High 71°   Low 54°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°47°1%
US model (GFS)72°50°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°61°2%
German model (ICON)70°56°0%
Canadian model (GEM)71°57°0%
The average71°54°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 64°   Low 46°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°48°0%
US model (GFS)66°40°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°49°0%
German model (ICON)63°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)64°44°0%
The average64°46°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 73°   Low 52°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service73°55°0%
US model (GFS)74°56°1%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°0%
German model (ICON)71°49°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°49°0%
The average73°52°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.