Minority Report

Orocovis Municipio, PR — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Orocovis Municipio.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 81°   Low 68°   Rain 31%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 99 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 99% against a group average of 31%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—70°0%
US model (GFS)81°66°16%
European model (ECMWF)81°67°99%
German model (ICON)80°67°28%
Canadian model (GEM)84°68°10%
The average81°68°31%

Friday, November 13

High 79°   Low 70°   Rain 39%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 64 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 39%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°70°30%
US model (GFS)80°67°29%
European model (ECMWF)79°70°54%
German model (ICON)80°72°8%
Canadian model (GEM)80°69°72%
The average79°70°39%

Saturday, November 14

High 79°   Low 70°   Rain 46%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 81 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 46%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°69°30%
US model (GFS)79°68°28%
European model (ECMWF)77°70°83%
German model (ICON)80°73°5%
Canadian model (GEM)81°71°86%
The average79°70°46%

Sunday, November 15

High 81°   Low 66°   Rain 7%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service76°67°14%
US model (GFS)82°66°3%
European model (ECMWF)82°68°10%
German model (ICON)81°67°3%
Canadian model (GEM)84°65°6%
The average81°66°7%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.