Minority Report

Orofino, ID — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Clearwater County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 65°   Low 42°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—40°0%
US model (GFS)64°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)66°40°0%
German model (ICON)65°44°0%
Canadian model (GEM)67°46°0%
The average65°42°0%

Friday, November 13

High 64°   Low 44°   Rain 35%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 68% against a group average of 35%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°44°68%
US model (GFS)66°51°23%
European model (ECMWF)65°40°26%
German model (ICON)62°42°28%
Canadian model (GEM)63°44°29%
The average64°44°35%

Saturday, November 14

High 57°   Low 42°   Rain 78%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 33 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 95% against a group average of 78%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°38°62%
US model (GFS)58°44°84%
European model (ECMWF)55°42°95%
German model (ICON)58°46°83%
Canadian model (GEM)58°43°68%
The average57°42°78%

Sunday, November 15

High 55°   Low 40°   Rain 58%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 22 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 72% against a group average of 58%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°40°72%
US model (GFS)56°42°50%
European model (ECMWF)50°39°55%
German model (ICON)56°44°61%
Canadian model (GEM)58°37°53%
The average55°40°58%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.