Minority Report

Ortonville, MN — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Big Stone County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—22°0%
US model (GFS)38°27°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°30°0%
German model (ICON)39°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°26°0%
The average39°27°0%

Friday, November 13

High 37°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service38°20°0%
US model (GFS)35°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°28°0%
German model (ICON)37°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)36°19°0%
The average37°25°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°29°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)43°24°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°19°0%
The average43°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°0%
US model (GFS)53°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)55°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°19°0%
The average52°30°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.