Minority Report

Osage, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Mitchell County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 39°   Low 28°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 5 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—23°1%
US model (GFS)40°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)39°33°4%
German model (ICON)38°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°26°5%
The average39°28°2%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service40°21°0%
US model (GFS)37°23°0%
European model (ECMWF)38°26°0%
German model (ICON)38°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)38°22°0%
The average38°23°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 42°   Low 23°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°23°0%
US model (GFS)43°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°24°0%
German model (ICON)41°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)40°18°0%
The average42°23°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 24°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°26°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°26°0%
German model (ICON)46°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°13°0%
The average45°24°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.