Minority Report

Osborne, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Osborne County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°1%
US model (GFS)53°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°36°0%
German model (ICON)53°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)55°34°0%
The average54°34°0%

Friday, November 13

High 48°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)43°32°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average48°30°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 13%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 18 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 24% against a group average of 13%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°34°20%
US model (GFS)48°31°8%
European model (ECMWF)47°34°6%
German model (ICON)50°31°8%
Canadian model (GEM)49°29°24%
The average48°32°13%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 35°   Rain 27%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 8°, rain spread 43 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 59% against a group average of 27%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°32°18%
US model (GFS)43°37°18%
European model (ECMWF)50°37°23%
German model (ICON)51°40°16%
Canadian model (GEM)48°30°59%
The average48°35°27%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.