Minority Report

Osceola, MO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of St. Clair County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°0%
US model (GFS)55°34°0%
European model (ECMWF)54°37°0%
German model (ICON)53°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)54°37°0%
The average54°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 46°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°26°0%
US model (GFS)43°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°33°0%
German model (ICON)47°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°29°0%
The average46°28°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 50°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°31°1%
US model (GFS)51°22°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°30°0%
German model (ICON)52°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°24°0%
The average50°27°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 54°   Low 31°   Rain 4%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 7 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service52°32°4%
US model (GFS)56°33°3%
European model (ECMWF)53°32°0%
German model (ICON)57°29°7%
Canadian model (GEM)53°30°5%
The average54°31°4%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.