Minority Report

Oshkosh, NE — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Garden County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 62°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)63°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)61°35°0%
German model (ICON)64°33°0%
Canadian model (GEM)60°30°0%
The average62°32°0%

Friday, November 13

High 54°   Low 34°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service56°30°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)56°38°0%
German model (ICON)54°38°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°32°0%
The average54°34°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 49°   Low 34°   Rain 9%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service48°32°13%
US model (GFS)50°31°7%
European model (ECMWF)46°38°4%
German model (ICON)50°35°10%
Canadian model (GEM)50°32°10%
The average49°34°9%

Sunday, November 15

High 51°   Low 36°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°31°1%
US model (GFS)50°41°8%
European model (ECMWF)52°38°2%
German model (ICON)52°41°11%
Canadian model (GEM)50°28°10%
The average51°36°6%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.