Minority Report

Oshkosh, WI — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Winnebago County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 41°   Low 32°   Rain 6%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 11 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°2%
US model (GFS)40°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)40°34°6%
German model (ICON)41°33°13%
Canadian model (GEM)41°34°5%
The average41°32°6%

Friday, November 13

High 40°   Low 30°   Rain 1%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°30°2%
US model (GFS)40°30°3%
European model (ECMWF)40°31°0%
German model (ICON)42°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)39°30°0%
The average40°30°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 30°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°31°0%
US model (GFS)44°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)43°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)43°28°0%
The average44°30°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°32°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°28°0%
German model (ICON)46°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average44°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.