Minority Report

Ossipee, NH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Carroll County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 42°   Low 34°   Rain 64%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 67 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 25% against a group average of 64%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—30°79%
US model (GFS)41°34°25%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°92%
German model (ICON)41°36°73%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°51%
The average42°34°64%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 43%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 43%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°28°63%
US model (GFS)42°32°17%
European model (ECMWF)45°31°45%
German model (ICON)42°31°50%
Canadian model (GEM)43°27°41%
The average43°30°43%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 2%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 5 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°1%
US model (GFS)43°28°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°30°2%
German model (ICON)43°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°26°5%
The average44°29°2%

Sunday, November 15

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)44°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)42°30°2%
German model (ICON)43°32°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average44°29°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.