Minority Report

Oswego, KS — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Labette County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 59°   Low 35°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—31°0%
US model (GFS)60°37°0%
European model (ECMWF)58°38°0%
German model (ICON)59°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)59°33°0%
The average59°35°0%

Friday, November 13

High 49°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°28°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°0%
European model (ECMWF)47°33°0%
German model (ICON)49°27°0%
Canadian model (GEM)49°25°0%
The average49°29°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 53°   Low 27°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 6 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service53°36°6%
US model (GFS)54°21°1%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°0%
German model (ICON)55°25°0%
Canadian model (GEM)53°20°0%
The average53°27°1%

Sunday, November 15

High 52°   Low 36°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 39 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 53% against a group average of 24%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°36°19%
US model (GFS)55°39°19%
European model (ECMWF)53°35°14%
German model (ICON)53°35°15%
Canadian model (GEM)49°34°53%
The average52°36°24%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.