Minority Report

Ottawa, IL — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of LaSalle County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 24%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 57 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 57% against a group average of 24%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—32°0%
US model (GFS)44°33°4%
European model (ECMWF)44°36°57%
German model (ICON)44°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)43°33°52%
The average44°34°24%

Friday, November 13

High 43°   Low 30°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°2%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°32°2%
German model (ICON)44°32°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°29°10%
The average43°30°4%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 1 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°27°0%
US model (GFS)45°30°1%
European model (ECMWF)46°29°0%
German model (ICON)46°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°24°0%
The average45°28°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 28°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°27°0%
US model (GFS)48°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)48°29°0%
German model (ICON)48°31°0%
Canadian model (GEM)48°19°0%
The average48°28°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.