Minority Report

Ottawa, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Putnam County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 49°   Low 40°   Rain 86%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 45 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 55% against a group average of 86%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°55%
US model (GFS)48°41°76%
European model (ECMWF)51°42°100%
German model (ICON)49°40°100%
Canadian model (GEM)47°40°100%
The average49°40°86%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 32°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 32 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 13% against a group average of 29%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°27°17%
US model (GFS)42°32°13%
European model (ECMWF)42°36°45%
German model (ICON)41°31°33%
Canadian model (GEM)41°32°37%
The average42°32°29%

Saturday, November 14

High 44°   Low 29°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 8 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°33°8%
US model (GFS)42°31°2%
European model (ECMWF)44°29°0%
German model (ICON)45°28°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°4%
The average44°29°3%

Sunday, November 15

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 3%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 11 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°30°11%
US model (GFS)46°39°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°35°0%
German model (ICON)47°38°3%
Canadian model (GEM)42°24°0%
The average46°33°3%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.