Minority Report

Ottumwa, IA — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Wapello County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 46°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°0%
US model (GFS)47°33°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°37°0%
German model (ICON)47°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°34°0%
The average46°33°0%

Friday, November 13

High 42°   Low 27°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°23°0%
US model (GFS)42°28°0%
European model (ECMWF)41°30°0%
German model (ICON)42°30°0%
Canadian model (GEM)42°26°0%
The average42°27°0%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°25°0%
US model (GFS)46°26°0%
European model (ECMWF)44°27°0%
German model (ICON)47°26°0%
Canadian model (GEM)44°20°0%
The average45°25°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 49°   Low 25°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service50°27°0%
US model (GFS)50°31°0%
European model (ECMWF)49°28°0%
German model (ICON)51°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)47°14°0%
The average49°25°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.