Minority Report

Ouray, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Ouray County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 56°   Low 37°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—34°0%
US model (GFS)56°38°0%
European model (ECMWF)57°35°0%
German model (ICON)55°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)56°42°0%
The average56°37°0%

Friday, November 13

High 53°   Low 35°   Rain 29%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 6°, rain spread 68 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 76% against a group average of 29%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service51°34°76%
US model (GFS)54°38°9%
European model (ECMWF)50°31°31%
German model (ICON)53°35°8%
Canadian model (GEM)56°39°19%
The average53°35°29%

Saturday, November 14

High 43°   Low 32°   Rain 96%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service42°28°99%
US model (GFS)42°30°87%
European model (ECMWF)43°32°100%
German model (ICON)42°36°95%
Canadian model (GEM)44°34°100%
The average43°32°96%

Sunday, November 15

High 45°   Low 28°   Rain 12%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 26 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 26% against a group average of 12%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°30°0%
US model (GFS)43°30°9%
European model (ECMWF)47°18°13%
German model (ICON)44°33°11%
Canadian model (GEM)46°31°26%
The average45°28°12%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.