Minority Report

Owego, NY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Tioga County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 48°   Low 33°   Rain 100%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 1°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—27°100%
US model (GFS)47°36°100%
European model (ECMWF)48°35°100%
German model (ICON)47°35°100%
Canadian model (GEM)48°33°100%
The average48°33°100%

Friday, November 13

High 38°   Low 31°   Rain 96%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 16 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 84% against a group average of 96%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service41°25°84%
US model (GFS)37°32°95%
European model (ECMWF)36°33°100%
German model (ICON)37°33°100%
Canadian model (GEM)36°31°100%
The average38°31°96%

Saturday, November 14

High 40°   Low 32°   Rain 60%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 46 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the German model (ICON) stands apart, rain 86% against a group average of 60%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°29°60%
US model (GFS)38°32°48%
European model (ECMWF)38°32°65%
German model (ICON)41°34°86%
Canadian model (GEM)40°34°40%
The average40°32°60%

Sunday, November 15

High 41°   Low 33°   Rain 56%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 20 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 43% against a group average of 56%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°29°60%
US model (GFS)40°32°51%
European model (ECMWF)41°35°63%
German model (ICON)41°37°63%
Canadian model (GEM)40°32°43%
The average41°33°56%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.