Owensboro, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Daviess County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 56° Low 38° Rain 31%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 48 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 3% |
| US model (GFS) | 56° | 38° | 31% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 56° | 42° | 51% |
| German model (ICON) | 56° | 38° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 38° | 19% |
| The average | 56° | 38° | 31% |
High 46° Low 34° Rain 8%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 19 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 30° | 19% |
| US model (GFS) | 44° | 34° | 2% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 38° | 12% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 33° | 8% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 36° | 0% |
| The average | 46° | 34° | 8% |
High 50° Low 31° Rain 1%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 50° | 29° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 33° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 33° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 51° | 30° | 3% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 28° | 0% |
| The average | 50° | 31° | 1% |
High 52° Low 30° Rain 0%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 52° | 30° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 34° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 51° | 32° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 54° | 33° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 51° | 23° | 0% |
| The average | 52° | 30° | 0% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.