Minority Report

Owenton, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Owen County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 40°   Rain 53%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 2°, rain spread 65 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the Canadian model (GEM) stands apart, rain 89% against a group average of 53%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°24%
US model (GFS)55°39°24%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°88%
German model (ICON)54°40°40%
Canadian model (GEM)53°40°89%
The average54°40°53%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 51%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 65 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 17% against a group average of 51%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service43°30°46%
US model (GFS)44°33°17%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°82%
German model (ICON)46°34°58%
Canadian model (GEM)43°36°52%
The average44°34°51%

Saturday, November 14

High 46°   Low 29°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service46°31°0%
US model (GFS)47°30°2%
European model (ECMWF)46°30°0%
German model (ICON)44°28°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°24°0%
The average46°29°0%

Sunday, November 15

High 48°   Low 32°   Rain 0%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 7°, rain spread 2 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service49°30°0%
US model (GFS)49°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°2%
German model (ICON)52°35°0%
Canadian model (GEM)45°23°0%
The average48°32°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.