Minority Report

Owingsville, KY — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Bath County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 54°   Low 41°   Rain 83%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 1°, rain spread 54 points, 4 sources)

Minority report — Thursday, November 12: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 46% against a group average of 83%.
Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—38°46%
US model (GFS)53°39°89%
European model (ECMWF)54°42°100%
German model (ICON)54°43°90%
Canadian model (GEM)54°40°91%
The average54°41°83%

Friday, November 13

High 44°   Low 34°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 3°, rain spread 44 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the US model (GFS) stands apart, rain 38% against a group average of 62%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service44°29°52%
US model (GFS)44°32°38%
European model (ECMWF)46°36°82%
German model (ICON)44°38°73%
Canadian model (GEM)43°34°67%
The average44°34°62%

Saturday, November 14

High 45°   Low 32°   Rain 4%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 10 points, 5 sources)

Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service45°31°0%
US model (GFS)45°31°3%
European model (ECMWF)46°34°0%
German model (ICON)44°34°5%
Canadian model (GEM)45°28°10%
The average45°32°4%

Sunday, November 15

High 47°   Low 33°   Rain 0%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 6°, rain spread 0 points, 5 sources)

Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service47°29°0%
US model (GFS)47°36°0%
European model (ECMWF)45°39°0%
German model (ICON)51°34°0%
Canadian model (GEM)46°24°0%
The average47°33°0%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.