Minority Report

Ozona, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Crockett County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 72°   Low 50°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—49°0%
US model (GFS)73°47°0%
European model (ECMWF)70°51°0%
German model (ICON)70°51°0%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°0%
The average72°50°0%

Friday, November 13

High 69°   Low 50°   Rain 11%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 49 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Friday, November 13: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 49% against a group average of 11%.
Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service69°51°49%
US model (GFS)67°50°3%
European model (ECMWF)69°51°0%
German model (ICON)69°52°5%
Canadian model (GEM)72°48°0%
The average69°50°11%

Saturday, November 14

High 65°   Low 53°   Rain 62%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 53 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 62%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service63°54°41%
US model (GFS)61°51°43%
European model (ECMWF)65°53°94%
German model (ICON)64°55°75%
Canadian model (GEM)71°53°57%
The average65°53°62%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 50°   Rain 38%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 52 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the National Weather Service stands apart, rain 5% against a group average of 38%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service66°45°5%
US model (GFS)70°52°22%
European model (ECMWF)67°53°57%
German model (ICON)70°53°48%
Canadian model (GEM)70°46°57%
The average69°50°38%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.