Pagosa Springs, CO — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Archuleta County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
← All cities and the scoreboard
High 58° Low 27° Rain 0%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 26° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 58° | 30° | 0% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 59° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 58° | 25° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 57° | 26° | 0% |
| The average | 58° | 27° | 0% |
High 54° Low 30° Rain 60%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 76 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 56° | 30° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 53° | 36° | 23% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 55° | 28° | 67% |
| German model (ICON) | 52° | 29° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 53° | 24° | 62% |
| The average | 54° | 30° | 60% |
High 41° Low 31° Rain 98%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 4°, rain spread 9 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 43° | 24° | 99% |
| US model (GFS) | 40° | 30° | 91% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 41° | 34° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 40° | 35° | 98% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 44° | 29° | 100% |
| The average | 41° | 31° | 98% |
High 48° Low 25° Rain 1%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 5°, rain spread 4 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 49° | 23° | 0% |
| US model (GFS) | 46° | 26° | 1% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 50° | 26° | 0% |
| German model (ICON) | 45° | 30° | 0% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 47° | 21° | 4% |
| The average | 48° | 25° | 1% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.