Painesville, OH — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Lake County.
Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.
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High 51° Low 41° Rain 79%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 4°, rain spread 78 points, 4 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | — | 36° | 22% |
| US model (GFS) | 50° | 40° | 78% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 53° | 46° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 50° | 43° | 100% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 50° | 42° | 93% |
| The average | 51° | 41° | 79% |
High 43° Low 38° Rain 65%
They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 5°, rain spread 61 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 41° | 37° | 70% |
| US model (GFS) | 42° | 36° | 39% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 43° | 39° | 50% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 43° | 40° | 67% |
| The average | 43° | 38° | 65% |
High 46° Low 39° Rain 86%
Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 2°, rain spread 23 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 47° | 34° | 78% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 40° | 77% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 45° | 40° | 100% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 41° | 79% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 40° | 95% |
| The average | 46° | 39° | 86% |
High 46° Low 42° Rain 70%
They agree — trust it (highs spread 3°, rain spread 13 points, 5 sources)
| Source | High | Low | Rain |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Weather Service | 48° | 34° | 74% |
| US model (GFS) | 45° | 43° | 62% |
| European model (ECMWF) | 46° | 43° | 67% |
| German model (ICON) | 46° | 44° | 75% |
| Canadian model (GEM) | 46° | 44° | 71% |
| The average | 46° | 42° | 70% |
Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.