Minority Report

Paint Rock, TX — every free forecast we can get, averaged to be a little more right. County seat of Concho County.

Updated Friday, November 13, 2026. Recorded fresh this morning from five free sources, and graded later against what the weather actually did.

← All cities and the scoreboard

Thursday, November 12

High 74°   Low 48°   Rain 0%

They agree — trust it (highs spread 2°, rain spread 0 points, 4 sources)

Thursday, November 12 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service—50°0%
US model (GFS)74°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)74°48°0%
German model (ICON)74°46°0%
Canadian model (GEM)75°46°0%
The average74°48°0%

Friday, November 13

High 72°   Low 47°   Rain 1%

Pretty close — fairly safe (highs spread 3°, rain spread 3 points, 5 sources)

Friday, November 13 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service72°50°3%
US model (GFS)71°48°0%
European model (ECMWF)71°49°0%
German model (ICON)72°45°0%
Canadian model (GEM)74°44°0%
The average72°47°1%

Saturday, November 14

High 66°   Low 51°   Rain 70%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 11°, rain spread 51 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Saturday, November 14: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 98% against a group average of 70%.
Saturday, November 14 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service64°54°62%
US model (GFS)64°48°47%
European model (ECMWF)66°50°98%
German model (ICON)61°52°96%
Canadian model (GEM)73°50°48%
The average66°51°70%

Sunday, November 15

High 69°   Low 50°   Rain 57%

They disagree — a coin flip (highs spread 10°, rain spread 66 points, 5 sources)

Minority report — Sunday, November 15: the European model (ECMWF) stands apart, rain 94% against a group average of 57%.
Sunday, November 15 — every source
SourceHighLowRain
National Weather Service65°46°28%
US model (GFS)74°53°46%
European model (ECMWF)64°51°94%
German model (ICON)71°50°75%
Canadian model (GEM)72°47°44%
The average69°50°57%

Scoreboard — who has been most right (all recorded cities)

Scoring has started — every forecast is being recorded. The first grades land once the historical record publishes what actually happened (it runs a few days behind), and this board fills in from there.